Showing posts with label Thailand. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Thailand. Show all posts

The Thai-US relationship: In the middle of a Bangkok Storm

BY: Pavin Chachavalpongpun
I visited Washington DC in October last year. While there and together with a number of scholars mostly from Southeast Asia, I had a chance to dine with Kurt Campbell, US Assistant State Secretary for East Asia and the Pacific, in a cosy restaurant near the Capitol Hill. The dinner was organised just four days before Campbell's first exploratory mission to Naypyidaw. He wanted to hear our views on how to best deal with the Burmese junta.

I took this opportunity to ask Campbell about the US perception towards Thailand's protracted crisis. Campbell frankly replied that the Obama administration was more concerned about the rising violence in Thailand than political repression in Burma. This was because Thailand has long been one of the US's closest allies in Asia and the US has a major stake in the kingdom's political stability.

Since October 2009, the Thai situation has gone from bad to worse. And during the past few days, Bangkok's streets were filled with blood. The government, on 13 May 2010, ordered its second crackdown on the red-shirted protesters. The deadly confrontations between the red-shirts and the security forces have so far resulted in almost 40 people killed and more than 200 injured. The US has every reason to be anxious about the situation that has obviously gone out of control.

Recently while on his way to Naypyidaw, Campbell made a brief stopover in Bangkok. On 9 May 2010, he held a meeting with Chaturon Chaisaeng, the disbanded Thai Rak Thai Party's former leader, Noppadon Pattama, legal adviser of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, and key leaders of the red-shirted United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD). Campbell claimed that he just wanted to hear about the red-shirts' position and response to Abhisit's proposed roadmap.

This profoundly infuriated Foreign Minister Kasit Piromya who condemned the US government for "meddling" in Thai internal affairs. The next day, Kasit summoned US ambassador to Thailand Eric John to the Ministry for a 45-minute lecture. Later, Chavanond Intarakomalyasut, assistant to Kasit, revealed that the Foreign Ministry opposed talks between the US official and people attempting to oust the government in demonstrations which involved armed men.

Chavanond reportedly stated, "The political situation was sensitive and the red shirts' campaign was considered an act of terrorism or rebellion to overthrow the government. The US should be careful in meeting any political groups as they could use the opportunity for their own benefit." Kasit must have known well the definitions of "terrorism" and "rebellion" to overthrow the government. As one of the leaders of the yellow-shirted People's Alliance for Democracy (PAD), Kasit employed the same tactic as seen today by the UDD. He was one among those who seized the Suvarnabhumi Airport in November 2008. Kasit, together with the PAD members, also attempted to unseat the elected governments of Samak Sundaravej and Somchai Wongsawat. The only difference is that Kasit has not yet been prosecuted for his unlawful actions.

I supported Campbell's latest move even when it could be considered as interference in Thai politics. His meeting with the red-shirted leaders was significant. On the US's part, it signals the shift of the US policy toward Thailand—a shift that reflects the reality in the Thai-US relationship.

During the Cold War, the US forged its close alliance with the Thai military and the powerful old elite while compelling the government of the day to formulate a pro-American, anti-communist, and even anti-democracy policy—all were carried out in the name of containing the spread of communism in Southeast Asia. Consequently, Thailand endured a series of despotic regimes in order to satisfy the US government and to receive generous military aid. When the Cold War was over, the US continued to uphold its intimate relationship with Thailand's established forces, believing that they represented the US's long-term interests in this country.

The US's pro-elite position explained why it did not come out harshly against the military coup of September 2006. Perhaps, because Thaksin was a threat to the Bangkok elite, he thus was also a threat to the American interests. And indeed, since the coup, the US remained relatively silent about the worsening situation in Thailand. Hence, Campbell's personal meeting with the red-shirted leaders symbolised a shift in the US stance vis-à-vis political developments in Thailand.

In looking back, despite a strong bilateral foundation, Thai-US relations were confined within an old structure and simply taken for granted. Whereas bilateral relations have been amicable, at a deeper level, new developments, either domestic or international, are gradually reshaping long-established ties. Rapid democratisation and economic development in Thailand have in recent years paved the way for a more open society and the emergence of new political players. Yet, US leadership failed to appreciate these new changes.

The US has probably learned that the Thai public, "yellow" or "red", has become more engaged in the political process than ever before and has more influence on public and foreign policy. Sadly, both Kasit and the Foreign Ministry are still been trapped in a Cold War mindset that expects the US to maintain its pro-elite position. In the meantime, Thailand has become a more mature society.

In the current turmoil, not everyone in Thailand approves of the red-shirts' violent demonstrations. Likewise, some of them disapprove the state's heavy-handed measures against the protesters. But from Washington's point of view, there is a need to preserve channels of communication with both the government and the UDD. The US has recently done so in the case of Burma - Washington has entered in a dialogue with the ruthless regime in Naypyidaw, and not just with Aung San Suu Kyi.

In the old days when Kasit campaigned for the ouster of Thaksin-backed regimes, he reached out to Thailand's foreign allies to deligitimise the former. If so, why can't the red-shirts now do the same thing? Or is this just another case of double standards in the maelstrom that had gripped Thai politics?
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Kind Regards;
VK Pandey

Most Visited Blog News: Thai protest leaders offer to surrender

Thai protest leaders offer to surrender
A barricade burns near the body of a protester who was killed during an operation to evict anti-government "red shirt" protesters from their encampment in Bangkok May 19, 2010. [Agencies]
BANGKOK -- Thailand's Red Shirt protest leaders say they are formally ending their anti-government protest and will surrender to authorities to prevent more deaths.
The announcement came after the army overran their heavily barricaded encampment in central Bangkok on Wednesday.

Seven Red Shirt leaders went on stage in the core protest zone to announce their decision, which was greeted with shouts of dismay from the men and women gathered around.

Protest leader Natawut Saikua said "we have done our best." Weng Tojirakarn said "we want to prevent further losses of our Red Shirt brothers and sisters."

He said "let us first prevent further losses of lives," and urged supporters to leave the area.


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Kind Regards;
VK Pandey

Bangkok on brink: Civil war looms in Thailand as troops gun down 31 protesters

Protests in Bangkok (Pic:Getty Images)

Protesters in Thailand were last night fearing an army assault after they were told to let women and the elderly leave their camp.

The Red Cross has been asked to help people out of the area this afternoon after clashes during the past three days have left at least 31 dead.

One of the anti-government protesters' leaders, Jatuporn Prompan, said the situation was "almost full civil war". Britain has shut its embassy and warned tourists away from the capital.

Thai authorities have declared a state of emergency in up to 20 provinces, mostly in the demonstrators' northern heartlands.

A suggestion of talks involving the United Nations has been ignored by the government.

Soldiers have taken up positions beside a road leading to the red-shirt camp and witnesses say they are firing live rounds.

Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva has postponed the new school term in the city for a week and announced today and tomorrow will be public holidays.

The fighting flared on Thursday as the army moved to isolate a fortified protest camp.

Thousands of demonstrators remain behind barricades of rubber tyres, sandbags and stakes.

They say Mr Abhisit came to power undemocratically and want him to step down to make way for new elections. Mr Abhisit insisted the army would not back down in its operation to clear the protesters.

He said: "We cannot the country in a leave the country in a situation where people who don't obey the law are holding hostage the people of Bangkok, as well as the centre of the country.

"We can't allow a situation where people set up armed groups and overthrow the government because they don't agree with it."

Yesterday, black smoke drifted into the air over Bangkok in the early morning haze, but the streets were mostly quiet.

The red-shirt fighters have used homemade petrol bombs, fireworks, rocks and, in some cases, guns to attack troops positioned behind bunkers made from sandbags.

The soldiers have responded with rubber bullets and live ammo. The protesters are running out of food, water and supplies.

One of their leaders, Nattawut Saikua, said yesterday. "We are willing to negotiate immediately. What is urgent is to stop the deaths of people. Political demands can wait."


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Kind Regards;
VK Pandey

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